Kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja cha Federal Reserve "kunayima ndipo sikunayime", kodi msika upita kuti munyengo yopuma?

M'maola oyambilira m'mawa uno, Federal Reserve idalengeza kuyimitsa kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja, ndikusunga kuchuluka kwa ndalama za federal osasintha pa 5.0% mpaka 5.25%.Izi zidagayidwa pasadakhale.
(Kuti mudziwe zambiri za zotsatira za zinthu zachitsulo, mongaMapepala a Mulu wa Mapepala 4, mutha kulumikizana nafe)
Ndikoyenera kudziwa kuti msonkhano wa chiwongoladzanja cha Federal Reserve unavumbula kuti nthawi ino ndi "pause", osati "kusiya" kukwera.Zikuyembekezeka kuti pakhala makwerero enanso awiri a 25 maziko chaka chisanathe.Ndipo Powell adanenanso pamsonkhanowu kuti sikungakhale koyenera kuchepetsa chiwongoladzanja chaka chino, ndipo palibe mmodzi mwa mamembala a FOMC adaneneratu kuti chiwerengero cha 2023 chidzachepetsedwa. Kuchepetsa chiwongola dzanja cha Fed chaka chino kwafowokanso kwambiri.
Kutsika kwa Fed pakukweza chiwongola dzanja nthawi ino kumathandizira kukhazikika kwamitengo yazinthu nthawi ndi nthawi, komabe pali kuthekera kokweza chiwongola dzanja m'tsogolomu, ndipo msika ukhalabe ndi chiyembekezo.Zogulitsa zapadziko lonse lapansi zikadali munyengo yododometsa.
(Ngati mukufuna kudziwa zambiri zankhani zamakampaniZitsulo Mulu Mulu Kukula, mutha kulumikizana nafe nthawi iliyonse)
Malinga ndi msika wapakhomo, National Bureau of Statistics yatulutsa zidziwitso zachuma zapakhomo za Meyi lero.Pakati pawo, mtengo wowonjezera wamakampani ogulitsa mafakitale pamwamba pa kukula kwake, ndalama zokhazikika za dziko, ndalama zamalonda ndi zizindikiro zina zomwe zimagwirizana kwambiri ndi zitsulo zazitsulo zonse zatsika.Izi zikuwonetsa kuti kufunikira kwa msika wachitsulo mu May kunali kofooka.Komabe, momwe data imagwirira ntchito moyipitsitsa, kukweza mafoni amsika ndi zomwe amayembekeza kuti dziko likhazikitse ndondomeko zamphamvu zolimbikitsira pambuyo pake.
(Ngati mukufuna kupeza mtengo wazinthu zinazake zachitsulo, mongaType 4 Mapepala Mulumutha kulumikizana nafe nthawi iliyonse)
Kuonjezera apo, kupanga zitsulo, zomwe zakhala pamlingo wapamwamba, zabwereranso.Malingana ndi deta yochokera ku National Bureau of Statistics, mu May, dziko langa limatulutsa zitsulo zosakanizidwa ndi matani 90,12 miliyoni, kuchepa kwa chaka ndi 7.3%;avereji ya tsiku ndi tsiku ya zitsulo zosapanga dzimbiri mu May inali matani 2.907 miliyoni, kutsika kwa mwezi ndi mwezi kwa 5.9%.

Koma ndizoyenera kudziwa kuti zomwe zikuchitika pano zalowa pang'onopang'ono mu nyengo yopuma, ndipo kutentha kwa kumpoto ndi mvula kum'mwera kumawonjezeka pang'onopang'ono, zomwe ziyenera kuletsa kwambiri kumanga panja.Choncho, chikhalidwe cha zofuna zofooka mu nthawi yopuma ndizovuta kusintha, ndipo kufunikira kwa msika wonse kudzakhala mu masewera a "zoyembekeza zamphamvu" ndi "zofuna zofooka".
Kuchokera pamalingaliro a msika, atatha kulowa mu June, mtengo wachitsulo wabwereranso mwachiwonekere, ndipo msika wonse umapereka msika "wosafooka mu nyengo yopuma".
M'kanthawi kochepa, zidziwitso zambiri zapakhomo sizikhala ndi chiyembekezo, koma ndondomeko zingapo zomwe zatulutsidwa posachedwa zabweretsa chiyembekezo pamsika.Msika uli ndi mpikisano woopsa pakati pautali ndi waufupi, ndipo masewera a nthawi yochepa sanakwaniritsidwebe.Mitengo yachitsulo idakali m'nyengo ya kusinthasintha kwakukulu.